The Problem with AI Investment Research

Your AI Can't Find Inconsistencies Between Related Market Expectations

LLMs fail at comparing related forecasts across sector boundaries. That's where the biggest investment opportunities hide. We built the structure to find them.

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Inconsistencies Between Related Expectations are Investment Home Runs. But You Can't Find Them.

Sector Silos Block Cross-Sector Insights

Investment teams are organized by sector. When GPU demand expectations shift, the technology analysts see it. But the utilities analysts covering power generation don't connect the dots until much later.

LLMs Fail at Combination Questions

Research shows LLMs are "specifically worse than humans at combination questions about 2 events' odds of co-occurrence." They can't systematically find forecast inconsistencies.

Vector Search Misses Multi-Hop Reasoning

"Plain vector similarity search falls short when answering multi-hop questions that require connecting information across multiple documents." The architecture is wrong.

"As a particular failure mode, we find LLMs are specifically worse [than humans] at combination questions [about 2 events' odds of co-occurrence]."
ForecastBench: A Dynamic Benchmark of AI Forecasting Capabilities
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, Forecasting Research Institute, NYU, UC Berkeley, UPenn (January 2025)

The Expectations Knowledge Graph Provides the Comparison Structure AI Needs & the UI Investors Need

Our patented EKG gives AI agents the ontology architecture to find inconsistencies between related expectations across sector boundaries - and helps you handicap their impact on investments in 4 steps.

Step 1

Find Shifted Expectations

Identify expectations that have moved, then discover related expectations that haven't shifted yet.

Step 2

Forecast Future Shifts

Generate percentile forecasts for how related expectations will shift over your investment horizon.

Step 3

Forecast Valuation Changes

Translate expectation shifts into percentile forecasts for investment valuation changes.

Step 4

Optimize Portfolio

Use the EKG's relationships to optimize position sizes across your entire portfolio.

Real Example: AI Data Center Buildout

GPU Chip Sales Expectations
Nvidia Stock
related via "AI Data Center"
Texas Electricity Production
Vistra Stock
Inconsistency Detected

GPU expectations shifted. Power expectations didn't. Vistra rose 300%.

When AI data center buildout expectations spiked, GPU chip forecasts moved immediately. But Texas electricity production forecasts - for the same data centers - lagged behind.

The EKG connects these related expectations across the Technology/Utilities sector boundary. It found the inconsistency early.

Vistra stock: +300% as expectations corrected

20 Years and $12M Building the EKG. Now Adding AI Automation.

Knowledge Graphs got hot in 2025 when enterprises saw they're necessary for LLMs to achieve multi-hop reasoning on new information outside their training data. But no one else has designed and stress-tested a Knowledge Graph for the purpose of finding inconsistent investor expectations across sectors and across Prediction Markets, which also got hot in 2025. We have.

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Pete Moore

CEO & Founder
  • Dartmouth AB Engineering & Stanford MBA
  • Convert arb at $2B Symphony & venture capital at $12B Apax
  • Designed EKG software with National Science Foundation grants to apply ontology research from Stanford Med School
  • Sole-managed long/short portfolio with 3.3% annual alpha over 7 years
  • Co-managed $1.5B long/short portfolio at Harvard endowment
  • Applied EKG software to analyze 100+ private & public investments
U

Uros

CTO
  • Over 15 years developing enterprise software
  • Contributed to a graph database optimized for storing and querying graphs containing hundreds of billions of vertices and edges
  • Maintained SaaS with tens of thousands of simultaneous users

2 Issued Patents Protect the EKG Architecture

Tabular Manipulation of Higher Arity & Cardinality in Graphs & Ontologies, and Using a Logical Graphical Model to Define a Probabilistic Graphical Model.

Find Hidden Inconsistencies Before Other Investors Do

Schedule a free scoping call to see how the EKG can help your investment process.

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Free 30-minute call. No commitment required.